Confirmation of this scenario is likely to come in the form of targeted preventive attacks by the Israeli Air Force against Hezbollah bases in southern Lebanon (you know, the ones the United Nations and the Lebanese state were supposed to prevent), or possibly against bases in Syria. Still, the signs are not looking good:

Israel continued to warn the world on Monday of the potentially devastating outcome if Syria's chemical arsenal falls into the hands of rebels, or worse, Hezbollah, as Lebanese media outlets reported that the Lebanese terror group had already obtained some chemical weapons and long range missiles.

UPDATE January 30 2012. Confirmation may have already happened. The IAF has taken out targets moving from Syria into Lebanon. Given that weapons shipments into Lebanon for Hezbollah are practically routine at this point (no thanks to UN personnel) it does beg the question: what was in that weapons convoy?More >>